Here is another UFC 108 bet for you:
Sam Stout(+215) vs Joe Lauzon: 1 unit to win 2.15 units
So all of my bets for UFC 108 are:
Rashad (-195) vs Thiago Silva: 3 units to win 1.54 units
Dustin Hazelett (Even) vs Paul Daly: 4 units to win 4 units
Cole Miller (-155) vs Dan Lauzon: 3 units to win 1.94 units
Sam Stout(+215) vs Joe Lauzon: 1 unit to win 2.15 units
Risking 11 units to win 9.63 units
It looks like the lines have pretty much stabilized, so I don't think they will change at all before the event, so there most likely won't be any more bets.
See you after UFC 108!
- The Wise Guy
Saturday, December 26, 2009
Monday, December 21, 2009
UFC 109
Another bet for UFC 109. Jump on this one because the line is sure to get worse.
Nate marquardt (-280) vs Chael Sonnen (+220)
3 units on Marquardt to win 1.07 units
That's all for now.
- The wise guy
Nate marquardt (-280) vs Chael Sonnen (+220)
3 units on Marquardt to win 1.07 units
That's all for now.
- The wise guy
Sunday, December 13, 2009
UFC 107 results and more bets
UFC 107 went pretty well. The only guy who didn't come through for us was Buentello in a close fight.
We ended up going 3-1 in picks, netting 2.6 units.
S0 far we are +6.186 units for the bets of all the events I have listed.
EDIT: Made a math mistake, it's actually +5.04 units
Here are some bets for some upcoming fights:
UFC 108
Rashad (-195) vs Thiago Silva: 3 units to win 1.54 units
Dustin Hazelett (Even) vs Paul Daly: 4 units to win 4 units
Cole Miller (-155) vs Dan Lauzon: 3 units to win 1.94 units
UFC 109
Randy Couture (-385) vs Mark Coleman: 6 units to win 1.55 units
That's all for now. Get these in before the lines change. I expect rashad, hazelett, and couture will all become larger favorites.
- The wise guy
We ended up going 3-1 in picks, netting 2.6 units.
S0 far we are +6.186 units for the bets of all the events I have listed.
EDIT: Made a math mistake, it's actually +5.04 units
Here are some bets for some upcoming fights:
UFC 108
Rashad (-195) vs Thiago Silva: 3 units to win 1.54 units
Dustin Hazelett (Even) vs Paul Daly: 4 units to win 4 units
Cole Miller (-155) vs Dan Lauzon: 3 units to win 1.94 units
UFC 109
Randy Couture (-385) vs Mark Coleman: 6 units to win 1.55 units
That's all for now. Get these in before the lines change. I expect rashad, hazelett, and couture will all become larger favorites.
- The wise guy
Saturday, December 12, 2009
UFC 107 Bets
Back after a prolonged absence!
Here are my bets for UFC 107
Kenny Florian (-205): 4 units to win 1.95 units
BJ Penn (-260): 4 units to win 1.54 units
Paul Buentello (+120): 2 units to win 2.40 units
Rousimar Palhares (-330): 3 units to win .91 units
Total: Risking 13 units to win 6.8 units
- The Wise Guy
Here are my bets for UFC 107
Kenny Florian (-205): 4 units to win 1.95 units
BJ Penn (-260): 4 units to win 1.54 units
Paul Buentello (+120): 2 units to win 2.40 units
Rousimar Palhares (-330): 3 units to win .91 units
Total: Risking 13 units to win 6.8 units
- The Wise Guy
Friday, August 14, 2009
Strikeforce Odds update!
When the odds for Gina Carano vs Cris Cyborg opened, Carano was at +125. I got my bet in then because I thought she should be a slight favorite, or even money at worst, and I expected the lines to shift toward that as the fight got closer.
Well, the opposite happened and the line on Carano actually got better! She is now at +155, and my opinions on the fight haven't changed, so if you haven't got your bet in yet get it now!
-The Wise Guy
Sunday, August 9, 2009
More Upcoming Bets - Early action
Here are a couple more bets on some upcoming UFC events. You need to make sure you get on these before the odds change.
Mirko Crocop (-110) vs Junior Dos Santos
There has been a lot of hype surrounding a couple of stellar performances from Dos Santos, but despite that we really don't know where he stands. The Werdum win was solid, and Werdum has always had competent striking, but was never a standup phenom by any means.
On the other hand, we know where crocop stnads. His recent stumbles and lackluster performances were all against top level fighters, and he seems to be back in the game. He looked focused against Al Turk, even though that was a lopsided matchup. All in all, there is no reason why the lines should be this close when you have a basically untested fighter going up against one of MMA's perennial contenders. Crocop should be a clear favorite, at least until we have reason to think otherwise (and one quick KO against a grappler isn't really such a reason, IMO)
Bet: Crocop, 2 units to win 1.818
Gleison Tibau (+275) vs Sean Sherk
While Sherk is, and should be, a solid favorite in this fight, there are a lot of reasons to consider a dog bet on Tibau. His size and decent wrestling should allow him to avoid being badly controlled by Sherk, and may even allow him to defend Sherk's takedowns for a round or two. In the event that Sherk continues to think he's a kickboxer and keep the fight standing, Tibau has good striking and a huge reach advantage. Although Sherk is my official pick to win, if he continues with his new style, he could very well donk off another decision loss.
Bet: Tibau, 1 unit to win 2.75 units
- The Wise Guy
Mirko Crocop (-110) vs Junior Dos Santos
There has been a lot of hype surrounding a couple of stellar performances from Dos Santos, but despite that we really don't know where he stands. The Werdum win was solid, and Werdum has always had competent striking, but was never a standup phenom by any means.
On the other hand, we know where crocop stnads. His recent stumbles and lackluster performances were all against top level fighters, and he seems to be back in the game. He looked focused against Al Turk, even though that was a lopsided matchup. All in all, there is no reason why the lines should be this close when you have a basically untested fighter going up against one of MMA's perennial contenders. Crocop should be a clear favorite, at least until we have reason to think otherwise (and one quick KO against a grappler isn't really such a reason, IMO)
Bet: Crocop, 2 units to win 1.818
Gleison Tibau (+275) vs Sean Sherk
While Sherk is, and should be, a solid favorite in this fight, there are a lot of reasons to consider a dog bet on Tibau. His size and decent wrestling should allow him to avoid being badly controlled by Sherk, and may even allow him to defend Sherk's takedowns for a round or two. In the event that Sherk continues to think he's a kickboxer and keep the fight standing, Tibau has good striking and a huge reach advantage. Although Sherk is my official pick to win, if he continues with his new style, he could very well donk off another decision loss.
Bet: Tibau, 1 unit to win 2.75 units
- The Wise Guy
Saturday, August 8, 2009
UFC 101 results
We had some great results for UFC 101. Both our bets came in and put us up 3.076 units. Here are the official results:
All in all a pretty exciting event, without any really big surprises.
Event results:
Bets: +3.076 units
UFC fantasy: 35 out of 23907
I got so close on the UFC fantasy game (you need top 20 to get a prize). I will be posting my UFC fantasy picks for future events.
-The wise guy
| 1 | Jesse Lennox | Danillo Villefort | TKO (Cut) | 3 | 3:37 |
| 2 | George Sotiropoulos | George Roop | Submission (Kimura) | 2 | 1:59 |
| 3 | Matt Riddle | Dan Cramer | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 4 | Alessio Sakara | Thales Leites | Decision (Split) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 5 | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory | Decision (Split) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 6 | Kurt Pellegrino | Josh Neer | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 7 | Ricardo Almeida | Kendall Grove | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 8 | Johny Hendricks | Amir Sadollah | TKO (Punches) | 1 | 0:29 |
| 9 | Aaron Riley | Shane Nelson | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | 5:00 |
| 10 | Anderson Silva | Forrest Griffin | KO (Punch) | 1 | 3:23 |
| 11 | B.J. Penn | Kenny Florian | Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) | 4 | 3:54 |
All in all a pretty exciting event, without any really big surprises.
Event results:
Bets: +3.076 units
UFC fantasy: 35 out of 23907
I got so close on the UFC fantasy game (you need top 20 to get a prize). I will be posting my UFC fantasy picks for future events.
-The wise guy
Sunday, August 2, 2009
Early odds - upcoming action
Here are some bets I got for various fights in upcoming MMA events over the next month or so. I am posting them now so you have the chance to get in on them before the lines change.
UFC 101
Ricardo Almeida(-170) vs Kendall Grove
Almeida, 2 units to win 1.176
Kurt Pelligrino(+190) vs Josh Neer
Pelligrino, 1 unit to win 1.9
Strikeforce
Gina Carano(+125) vs Cristiane Santos
Carano, 2 units to win 2.5
UFC 102
Randy Couture(-190) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Couture, 2 units to win 1.05
Nate Marquardt(-130) vs Demian Maia
Marquardt, 2 units to win 1.54
UFC Fight night
Gray Maynard(-290) vs Roger Huerta
Maynard, 6 units to win 2.07
UFC 103
Tyson Griffin(-205) vs Hermes Franca
Griffin, 4 units to win 1.95
UFC 104
Shane Carwin(-160) vs Cain Velasquez
Carwin, 2 units to win 1.25
This is just a preliminary heads-up so you can get in on these bets before the lines change.
I will be posting more in-depth breakdowns as the individual events approach.
-The Wise Guy
UFC 101
Ricardo Almeida(-170) vs Kendall Grove
Almeida, 2 units to win 1.176
Kurt Pelligrino(+190) vs Josh Neer
Pelligrino, 1 unit to win 1.9
Strikeforce
Gina Carano(+125) vs Cristiane Santos
Carano, 2 units to win 2.5
UFC 102
Randy Couture(-190) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Couture, 2 units to win 1.05
Nate Marquardt(-130) vs Demian Maia
Marquardt, 2 units to win 1.54
UFC Fight night
Gray Maynard(-290) vs Roger Huerta
Maynard, 6 units to win 2.07
UFC 103
Tyson Griffin(-205) vs Hermes Franca
Griffin, 4 units to win 1.95
UFC 104
Shane Carwin(-160) vs Cain Velasquez
Carwin, 2 units to win 1.25
This is just a preliminary heads-up so you can get in on these bets before the lines change.
I will be posting more in-depth breakdowns as the individual events approach.
-The Wise Guy
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