Strikeforce Odds update!

When the odds for Gina Carano vs Cris Cyborg opened, Carano was at +125. I got my bet in then because I thought she should be a slight favorite, or even money at worst, and I expected the lines to shift toward that as the fight got closer.

Well, the opposite happened and the line on Carano actually got better! She is now at +155, and my opinions on the fight haven't changed, so if you haven't got your bet in yet get it now!






-The Wise Guy

More Upcoming Bets - Early action

Here are a couple more bets on some upcoming UFC events. You need to make sure you get on these before the odds change.



Mirko Crocop (-110) vs Junior Dos Santos

There has been a lot of hype surrounding a couple of stellar performances from Dos Santos, but despite that we really don't know where he stands. The Werdum win was solid, and Werdum has always had competent striking, but was never a standup phenom by any means.

On the other hand, we know where crocop stnads. His recent stumbles and lackluster performances were all against top level fighters, and he seems to be back in the game. He looked focused against Al Turk, even though that was a lopsided matchup. All in all, there is no reason why the lines should be this close when you have a basically untested fighter going up against one of MMA's perennial contenders. Crocop should be a clear favorite, at least until we have reason to think otherwise (and one quick KO against a grappler isn't really such a reason, IMO)

Bet: Crocop, 2 units to win 1.818



Gleison Tibau (+275) vs Sean Sherk

While Sherk is, and should be, a solid favorite in this fight, there are a lot of reasons to consider a dog bet on Tibau. His size and decent wrestling should allow him to avoid being badly controlled by Sherk, and may even allow him to defend Sherk's takedowns for a round or two. In the event that Sherk continues to think he's a kickboxer and keep the fight standing, Tibau has good striking and a huge reach advantage. Although Sherk is my official pick to win, if he continues with his new style, he could very well donk off another decision loss.

Bet: Tibau, 1 unit to win 2.75 units




- The Wise Guy

UFC 101 results

We had some great results for UFC 101. Both our bets came in and put us up 3.076 units. Here are the official results:

1	Jesse Lennox	Danillo Villefort	TKO (Cut)	3	3:37
2	George Sotiropoulos	George Roop	Submission (Kimura)	2	1:59
3	Matt Riddle	Dan Cramer	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
4	Alessio Sakara	Thales Leites	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
5	John Howard	Tamdan McCrory	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
6	Kurt Pellegrino	Josh Neer	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
7	Ricardo Almeida	Kendall Grove	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
8	Johny Hendricks	Amir Sadollah	TKO (Punches)	1	0:29
9	Aaron Riley	Shane Nelson	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
10	Anderson Silva	Forrest Griffin	KO (Punch)	1	3:23
11	B.J. Penn	Kenny Florian	Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)	4	3:54

All in all a pretty exciting event, without any really big surprises.

Event results:
Bets: +3.076 units
UFC fantasy: 35 out of 23907


I got so close on the UFC fantasy game (you need top 20 to get a prize). I will be posting my UFC fantasy picks for future events.


-The wise guy

Early odds - upcoming action

Here are some bets I got for various fights in upcoming MMA events over the next month or so. I am posting them now so you have the chance to get in on them before the lines change.


UFC 101

Ricardo Almeida(-170) vs Kendall Grove
Almeida, 2 units to win 1.176

Kurt Pelligrino(+190) vs Josh Neer
Pelligrino, 1 unit to win 1.9


Strikeforce

Gina Carano(+125) vs Cristiane Santos
Carano, 2 units to win 2.5

UFC 102

Randy Couture(-190) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Couture, 2 units to win 1.05

Nate Marquardt(-130) vs Demian Maia
Marquardt, 2 units to win 1.54

UFC Fight night

Gray Maynard(-290) vs Roger Huerta
Maynard, 6 units to win 2.07

UFC 103

Tyson Griffin(-205) vs Hermes Franca
Griffin, 4 units to win 1.95

UFC 104

Shane Carwin(-160) vs Cain Velasquez
Carwin, 2 units to win 1.25


This is just a preliminary heads-up so you can get in on these bets before the lines change.
I will be posting more in-depth breakdowns as the individual events approach.




-The Wise Guy