UFC 132 Results

This ended up being a really great card, and not just because we came out ahead. There were a bunch of dramatic first round finishes, and even the fights that went to decision were exciting wars. Basically everything you could ask for in a UFC card.

My anchor bet on Siver came through, but I was nervous. I am glad the judges saw it that way, and not just because of my bet. When one fighter is doing nothing but ATTEMPTING takedowns, and the other fighter is defended AND attacking with strikes at every opportunity, the latter fighter should win. If all that happens in a round is one fighter attempting takedowns, and the other defends them, then that round should be a draw. Too often they score it for the person attempting the takedowns, even if they don't get them. The judges CAN score rounds a draw, but they never do. I think justice was served, and Siver was rewarded for actually fighting.

+ 1.54 units.

Tito came through in a big way. Glad to see him get the win. Doubly glad because I had action on him! Yeah not much, but his crazy +400 line made even that small bet a good full unit return. I don't think Tito will ever again get near the title, but hopefully he can string together a couple wins and go out on top. He never really lost a step, everybody else just got really really good.

+1 unit.

The Tavares/Simpson fight was very frustrating, and a great example of the judging issue I talked about earlier. I love watching good wrestlers bust out timely takedowns, and dominating top control, but I can't stand this new standing version of lay-n-pray against the fence. Maybe we'll call it press-n-guess. Tavares was battering Simpson on the feet, and all Simpson did was push him against the cage. Oh well. We were definitely on the right side of the line Tavares showed excellent takedown defense, and I think that if he had shown a little better fight IQ and spun off the fence and broke contact at every opportunity, he could have actually won.

-.5 units


I was as sad as anybody to see Wanderlei lose, especially in that fashion, but I wasn't surprised. As I stated in my pre-event post, their styles are similar but Leben''s chin would win out. And that's exactly what happened.

+ .7 units

Overall Event Results:

Dennis Siver(-130) vs Matt Wiman: + 1.54 units
Chris Leben(+145) vs Wanderlei Silva: + .7 units
Tito Ortiz(+400) vs Ryan Bader: + 1 unit
Brad Tavares(+195) vs Aaron Simpson: - .5 units

Overall: 3-1, +2.74 units


I've got some more bets coming up for the next strikeforce card, so keep checking back.


-The Wise Guy

UFC 132 Betting Picks and Analysis

I have action on 4 fights this time, which is more than usual.

First the, anchor bet of the evening:

Dennis Siver(-130) vs Matt Wiman: 2 units to win 1.54 units

I think this will be similar to Siver's fight with Sotiropolous. I think Wiman probably has better wrestling, so he will probably have better success getting the fight down occasionally, but I don't think he has the top control to keep Siver there. His Standup is good, but I think Siver's is better.

Next up are my more speculative bets:

Chris Leben(+145) vs Wanderlei Silva: .5 units to win .7 units

Both of these guys have a similar style, but I think Leben's chin wins out over Wanderlei's at this stage of the game.

Tito Ortiz(+400) vs Ryan Bader: .25 units to win 1 unit

Honestly, I think Tito loses this fight. Sadly I think he is pretty much done. Which is unfortunate, because I have grown to like him. That being said, he has never been dominated, and even in his string of losses over the past several years, he has shown that he is no pushover; still top level, just not quite good enough. +400 is too good for a fighter like tito, in a fight he will be motivated to win, against an opponent who may be rattled or fight scared in his return fight after suffering his first real loss in dominating fashion. It's a small speculative bet, nothing more.

Brad Tavares(+195) vs Aaron Simpson: .5 units to win .976 units

No in depth analysis here; I just think Tavares is being undervalued. He hits hard enough to do what Leben did to Simpson, and He will no doubt be working his takedown defense for this fight. I think he's a live dog here.

Overall for UFC 132: Risking 3.25 units to win 4.216 units

Should be an entertaining night of fights. Here's to continuing our streak of positive events!


-The Wise Guy

RESULTS

Wow, The Barry/ Kongo fight was crazy. I was mere seconds away from cashing in on that one too, when WHAM! Unreal. At least I know I was on the right side of the line with that fight. Both fights actually, with Matt Brown coming through for us in his fight.

As I suspected, both fighters were undervalued, and they almost both won. At least one did, and kept the night positive for us.

In the end, we finished the night +.53 units. Not much, but every positive event just grows our bankroll. On to the next one!

- The Wise Guy

UFC on versus

Its only a few hours before the fights, but I have some last minute action:

Pat Barry(+195) vs Cheick Kongo: .5 units to win .975
Matt Brown(+205) vs John Howard: .5 units to win 1.025

I think both of these fighters are being undervalued in their fights, and only one of them needs to win for the night to be positive.

Pat Barry's flaw has been his one-dimensional skill set. That skill set though, his standup, is very good. And up against somebody who is likely to stand with him, his chances are decent.

Matt Brown has should himself to be a dangerous and relatively well-rounded, and is a live dog. That's all for now. Enjoy the fights.

- The Wise Guy

UFC 131 Results

We went 1-1 on our bets and ended the night +1.17 units. I am happy with that for sure. Any positive event is a solid one.

The Main event went mostly how I predicted, except it went the distance, which was very shocking to me. Both fighters were beign VERY cautious, and that is the main reason. JDS still put on a boxing clinic, and even threw in some takedowns in the third round. Easily won all three rounds with superior technique.

In the Florian fight, it seems like we were on the right side of the line, even though Florian won handily. Nunes was never out of the fight, and even won the first round. His cardio failed him, but otherwise he put up a fight. I am glad to see Florian get the W though, and it seems a title shot is next up for him, and he'll have his work cut out for him.

I'm glad I didn't put anything on Maia or Edwards, but at least they were exciting fights, as was the whole card for the most part. The judging needs serious work, as there were many fights scored 30-27 when the losing fighter OBVIOUSLY won one round. Nunes/Florian was one example.

Over all a good night of fights. Can't wait for the next one!



- The Wise Guy

UFC 131

First of all, as you know Clay Guida came through for us last weekend BOOYAH! Of Course he did.

+3.8 Units: BOOK IT.

Now on to UFC 131,

In the main event we have Junior Dos Santos vs Shane Carwin. I have never been so sure a fight would not go the distance. Both are huge dudes with huge power. The only areas where carwin has an advantage in my mind is wrestling. Probably punching power too, but JDS certainly has enough power to knock out carwin, he just might not have the Dim Mak death touch KO power that Carwin seems to have. JDS better technical striking, more diverse striking( Has Carwin EVER thrown a kick?), way better cardio, and his Jiu jitsu is going to be fine. We haven't gotten to see his takedown defense tested yet, but I imagine he has been training that very hard for the past few weeks. The way I see it, unless Carwin finishes this in the first round, Dos Santos is going to win. I think JDS will be ready for a first round barrage, and will outwork Carwin with speed, footwork, technical strikes, and will pepper him with shots from the outside while circling to avoid the take down. Expect copious uppercuts to thwart the takedown attempts, as we saw in his fight against Roy Nelson. By the second round I think Carwin will have slowed significantly, maybe not as bad as in the Brock fight, but it will still be noticeable) and at that point JDS's technique advantage will become even more apparent. It is very likely that Carwin is planning to take it a little slower in the first round to make sure there isn't a repeat of the Lesnar fight. This will make it even MORE likely that JDS's technique will shine through, as I think they only way for him to win is a gong-n-dash style barrage attack where he forces JDS to brawl .

Carwin HAS to get the knockout to win, JDS doesn't. I don't see Carwin having the gas to win a 3-round top control decision. so he either finishes it early, or JDS wins. JDS ALSO has the ability to finish it early however. I think this weighs the fight in favor of JDS.

JDS(-180) vs Shane Carwin: 3 units to win 1.67 units

My other bet for the card is a small dog bet on Nunes over Florian. I think Florian will win, but for being such a fast, successful, aggressive, fighter, I think he is being undervalued. Especially when considering this is Florian's first fight at featherweight. Nunes showed the ability to stop Mike Brown's takedowns, so if he can do the same to Florian I think he stands a solid chance in a standup war; more than the bookies are giving him anyway. I am a huge Florian fan and really hope he wins, but I am not going to pass up value when I see it. This way I can't lose! either Florian wins, and I'm happy, or he loses and at least I get an extra unit to soften the pain.

Diego Nunes(+240)vs Kenny Florian: .5 units to win 1.2 units


I'm rooting for Maia in his fight against Munoz, but for the life of me I just can't decide how the fight is going to go. It depends on a lot of things we just won't know until fight time. How good has Maia's standup gotten, will he be able to take it to the ground at all, will Munoz go for any takedowns of his own, can Maia pin him against the cage, etc. Should be an interesting fight. Close odds, so worth a bet if you think you have a clear vision of how this fight will go.

I like Eves Edwards over Stout. As a slight dog Edwards has value there. Other than that, I don't see any other lines worth jumping on. I do see a lot of exciting fights! Should be a good card!

-The Wise Guy

Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale

CLAY GUIDA! He is one of my favorite fighters, and I can't wait to see him in action once again tonight. He doesn't get any easy fights, and tonight is no exception, seeing him face off against the last WEC lightweight champion Anthony Pettis.

Shockingly to me, Pettis is coming in at about a -240 favorite against Guida. Yes his record is better than Guida's, but he hasn't been facing the same level of competition either. If his record had included fights with Gomi, Florian, Diaz, Danzig, Griffin, etc, He would most likely have a couple losses as well.

And yes he is more 'well-rounded', but that just means all his skills are at basically equal levels; it doesn't mean that level is high enough.

If nothing else, +200 on somebody like Guida, against a guy in his first UFC fight is something you can't pass up even if you think Pettis will win.

And I actually got through on bookmaker's foreign site, so I can actually palce this bet too! Fuck you , The Man!

Clay Guida(+190) vs Anthony Pettis: 2 units to win 3.8 units

Most of the other fights on the cards have clear favorites, so while it should be easy to pick winners, there aren't any deals on the lines either. The only close lines are Credeur/Herman, and Nijem/Ferguson. I can't pick a winner in the Herman fight, but I think Najim wins the Ultimate fighter. We haven't really got to see enough of Fergusons takedown defense to get a good idea of how this fight will play out.


- The Wise Guy

UFC 130 - Rampage vs Hamill

First of all, our evil fascist government has seized and shut down Bookmaker.com (along with all the poker sites) where I do all my MMA bets. I don't know which other sites are still up and running. The euro Bodog site still appears to be operational, so that is where I am getting the lines from for today. Obviously I will have no actual bets for this card since Bookmaker was shut down.

Rampage(-270) vs Hamill(+210)

Rampage is my pick to win here, but you can't take him at these odds, not after how he performed in the Rashad fight. I think he will be more engaged in this fight, and hopefully in better shape, but there is a definite possibility that Hamill wins a boring UD. I wouldn't put action on this fight, as I don't see a clear path the fight will take, but a small bet on Hamill wouldn't be a bad idea.

Although I think Rampage wins by stuffing the takedowns, and controlling the standup with faster, more technical striking, and more power.


I like Kendall Grove at close odds against Tim Boetsch. He has more range, better cardio, and is very dangerous off his back if the Barbarian gets him down. I see Kendall getting past Boetsch's slow, stiff standup and actually hurting him on the feet, before following him to the ground and getting the submission win. This would be my bet for the night.

Kendall Grove(-140) vs Tim Boetsch(+110): 2 units to win 1.43 units




I am leaning towards Big Country Roy Nelson(+110) in his fight with Frank Mir(-140), but Frank Mir is so unpredictable. He either looks invincible, or like a total pushover. Hard to say where the fight will go also. I think Nelson has better technical standup, but less power. Hard to say who will rule the clinch. Neither are super good with takedowns, but both are decent at defending them, so other than from the clinch, I don't see this fight playing out too much on the ground, so I give a slight edge to Big Country. I would want him to be slightly more of a dog to bet it though. If you can get him for +160 or better I would take the plunge for a unit. He is my pick to win though, I just don't have a clear path for the fight in my head, which always makes it hard to bet on.

I think Thiago Alves (-250) should win, but Rick Story(+190) has confounded me constantly and won every time I bet against him. I don't think he can do what Fitch or GSP did, but he will sure be trying. I officially pick Thiago to win by UD after frustrating Story with excellent TD defense, and brutal standup.



-The Wise Guy

UFC 129 - GSP vs Shields

Shields is an excellent fighter, and his record proves that. Unbeaten in something like 6 years. THe problem is, styles make fights, as they say. And I think GSP is tailor-made to beat Jake Shield's style. GSP has much better striking, and his elite level wrestling should allow him to keep the fight standing and ruin SHields on the feet. Shields has world-class grappling, and has shown an ability to control some excellent fighters. But I think GSP can do enough to at least stay alive if he does somehow end up on his back. Shields couldn't catch kampmann in or Henderson in his last couple fights, and I think GSP has sub defense that is on par with them at least. The cardio will also be a major issue. GSP has the best in the business, AND this is a five round fight. Shields tends to fade even in 3 round fights, so GSP will eat him alive in the championship rounds.

In fact I feel like GSP will be able to end his string of decision victories and get the finish in the 4th or 5th round, via TKO.

Although the odds are steep with GSP at -450, I can't pass on what is such an obviously bad style match-up for shields.

my bets:

GSP(-450) vs Jake Shields: 5 units to win 1.11 units

Randy Couture(+280) vs Lyoto Machida: .5 units to win 1.4 units

Randy has shown to be very good at finding ways to beat people's styles, so he can't be discounted in this fight. Machida is faster and has better standup, and good takedown defense, but I don't see why randy should be almost a 3:1 dog here. I think there is a decent chance he can either find a way to close the distance without being counterpunched to death, or win a decision simply by pushing the pace. Like it or not, there will likely be an unconscious 'handicap' given to Randy by the judges due to the fact that he is older, and Machida has what appears to some to be a timid style, with him sometimes 'running away'. Which means if this goes to anything other than an obvious decision, Couture has a chance to steal it. That fact alone makes +280 on Couture an interesting decision.

I don't really see any other lines I like that much. I think Nate Diaz will win, and he is like +115. I think Hominick is undervalued. I can't make up my mind about the Brilz/Matyushenko or Henderson/Bocek fights. If I HAD to pick I would go with Matyushenko and Henderson, but I am not very confident in those picks. I would stay away from betting on those fights unless you are seeing something I am missing.

Should be a good night of fights! for the first time ever, ALL the fights are being shown, either on facebook, Spike, or the Pay per-view. And don't forget the earlier start time of 9pm EST.

Until next time,

- The Wise Guy

Strikeforce - Diaz vs Daley

Paul Daley is a very dangerous fighter, but he is way too one-dimensional for somebody like Diaz. The only reason the lines are this close is because Diaz has a tendency to try standing with everybody. He has a great chin and even if he gets rocked, he has a great ability to grab subs even still. See the fight with Gomi.

Diaz just has way more ways to win this fight. Daley would basically HAVE to get the knockout to win here. It's what he does, but I think nick is too much for him here.

Nick Diaz(-215) vs Paul Daley: 3 units to win 1.4 units

I think Melendez will will a UD, and Jardine will probably get knocked out (again). I hope fancy pants takes aoki, but he was in too many bad spots last fight against somebody who isn't nearly the sub artist that aoki is. I think he gets submitted here. with Aoki at -225 you may want some action there. I think the line is about right, with maybe a little value for Aoki.


That's all for now. Enjoy the fights!

-The Wise Guy

UFC on Versus Results; +1 Unit

UFC on Versus was a pretty good night of fights. Definitely entertaining.

I only had action on one fight, but it came through for us in a big way. It's always good to know you won less than a minute into the fight.

Mark Munoz(-180) vs CB Dollaway: +1 Unit

I was pretty much spot on in my prediction for the main event, with Diego winning a unanimous decision after a good first round for Kampmann. Too bad though, I would have liked to see Martin win.

That's all for now. There is a lot of MMA coming up Bellator, and 2 more UFC events just this month. It's a good time to be an MMA fan!


-The Wise Guy

UFC on Versus 3 - Diego Sanchez Vs Martin Kampmann Betting Picks

I don't have time to do a full analysis right now, but I only have one play right now for this event:

Mark Munoz(-180) vs CB Dollaway: 1.8 Units to win 1 Unit

I think he gets it done here.

I think Diego will probably get the win here, with this fight going down a lot like his fight with Thiago. First round could see Kampmann looking impressive, but I see Diego getting it done with his grappling control and pace. I think the odds are about right, but Diego is a small dog so you may want to put a play on him if you agree. I hope Kampmann wins though, I am a fan.

Don't really see any other lines on this card that I like.

FIghts should be good though! Any Free MMA is awesome!

-The Wise Guy

UFC 127 Results: +.93 Units

The main event ended a little strangely, but luckily it was at least a push so we didn't lose any units. Besides that, we went 1-1 on dog bets, ending the night +.93 units

Jon Fitch (-210) vs BJ Penn: PUSH
Dennis Siver (+285) vs George Sotiropoulos: + 1.43 units
Jorge Rivera(+275) vs Michael Bisping: - .5 units

The Siver fight played out as I thought was possible. He was even better at avoiding the takedown than I expected.

Rivera showed some flashes of promise, but there is no way to tell how much that illegal knee took out of him. He could have said he couldn't continue and he would have won by DQ. He is tough, props. Cost him the fight, though.

Ebersole had a great performance. Surprising upset there, against a very very tough chris lytle.
Decent card overall. Always good to end the night up some units. Look forward to the next one! I will let you know what the plays are.

-The Wise Guy

UFC 127: BJ Penn vs Jon Fitch - Betting Picks and Analysis

I have 3 picks for tomorrow: an anchor bet on the main event and two smaller dog bets.

Jon Fitch (-210) vs BJ Penn: 3 units to win 1.43 units
Dennis Siver (+285) vs George Sotiropoulos: .5 units to win 1.43 units
Jorge Rivera(+275) vs Michael Bisping: .5 units to win 1.38 units

Total: Risking 4 units to win 4.24 units


In the main event I think BJ Penn is being overvalued due to popularity, and a general recognition of his skills. His recent performances (at lightweight, no less) offer no reason why the odds should be this close for this fight (at welterweight) against one of the most consistent performers in the entire sport. Jon Fitch is basically tailor made to beat BJ Penn. Unless Fitch foolishly tries to box with Penn for the entire fight, he will win. I imagine the first round being competitive, and I wouldn't even be surprised to see BJ win it. but despite him being 'in the best shape of his life' (as usual...) he will not be able to keep up with Fitch's pace for 3 rounds. Fitch by unanimous decision.

BJ Penn is live against anybody, but Fitch at -200 against anybody at welterweight (not named GSP) is a line you want to have some money on.


George Sotiropoulos is a beast and has been blazing through some stiff competition in on his way to a 7-0 record in the UFC he is for REAL. I DO think he will win this fight. However, Siver has the style to give him problems. We saw George get knocked out on The Ultimate Fighter, and Siver has some of the best kickboxing in the division. He also has great TD defense and underrated grappling. George's takedowns are solid but not crazy-good, but positional grappling is phenomenal, and if (when, lets be honest) this fight gets to the ground he will be putting Siver in tough spots. For almost 3 to 1 I am willing to throw a bit on the chance Siver can sprawl and brawl his way to a split decision or perhaps get a big KO.



In the Rivera / Bisping fight, I see bisping winning, but Rivera hits hard and has heart, and could give Bisping trouble simply by staying in the fight and always pushing forward. Bisping occasionally exhibits bad habits as well, like circling to his opponent's power hand, and that could get him into trouble with somebody with decent power. Overall I think Bisping is the more well-rounded opponent, and will probably win a decision. I wouldn't be surprised to see him take this fight to the ground midway through round 1, and keep doing it for the rest of the fight (which would be the best gameplan, IMO. That being said, I see no reason why Rivera should be an almost 3 to 1 dog.

I am betting that at least one of the two dog bets will come through. There are ALWAYS some upsets on every card, so the key is to pick fights where you see a specific way the upset COULD happen, and happen to also be giving good odds. I think both of my dog bets fall into this category.

I don't see lines I like really for any other fight. Pearson/fisher should be interesting, as they are almost identical fighters. I think Fisher takes more hits and shows damage more, which may get him the butt-end of a decision. I do think he has the better ground game, but I doubt this fight will go there.

I think Noke, Lytle, Gustaffson, and Ring will win.

Zhang seems maybe overvalued for his debut. SOmetimes people appear like monsters in other orgs, but it is because the competition isn't as good. Even the low-level UFC fighters are pretty damn good, and Zhang went 1-1 in the WEC. Only play here would be a dog bet on Reinhardt.

UPDATE: You know, when I read 'reinhardt' for some reason I was thinking of somebody else. When I saw his picture I was like, wait a sec, that's the guy that got beat by Lauzon in like 30 seconds. I checked his record again and although impressive on the surface, most of his opponents have losing records. At least the fight is 145, since he is undersized for 155, but still, I wouldn't put a dog bet here guys.

Hunt is just an enigma. No reason why he should be sucking quite as bad as he has been, so who knows how this will go. I assume Tuscherer will win based on Hunt's last few performances, but I have never really been that impressed with "The Crowbar" either, so I wouldn't put anything on him at these odds.

Anyway, should be a good night of fights, with a lot of free prelims on facebook and ION. Thanks Dana!

-The Wise Guy

UFC 126

I only have one small play for this card:

Ryan Bader (+235) vs Jon Jones: .5 units to win 1.175 units

Bones is good to be sure, and I do think he takes this, but there is no excuse for having bader being this much of a dog against him.

That's all for now.



-The Wise Guy

UFN 23 Quick Pick

I just made this play for UFN 23

Evan Dunham(-235) vs Melvin Guillard: 4 units to win 1.7 units

Jump on this, the line will probably get worse. Only way melvin wins this would be with one hit KO. Possible with him, but unlikely.



-The Wise Guy

UFC 125 update

More of the lines have been posted for UFC 125, and some are worth taking a look at. So far my plays for this event are:

Clay Guida(-165) vs Takanori Gomi: 1.65 units to win 1 unit
Marcus Davis(+205) vs Jeremy Stephens: 1 unit to win 2.05 units

Total: 2.65 units to win 3.05 units

I think Clay will fight smart and avoid trading, and there is no way Gomi can keep up with his pace for 3 whole rounds. I think he will be able to defend with relative success for the first round, but as long as Guida doesn't get KO'd early he will wear down Gomi and get a UD or late stoppage. This line has actually gotten slightly better, with Guida at -160 right now at Bookmaker.

I don't see any reason why Marcus davis is a 2 to 1 dog against Stephens. Marcus is at least equal in power and speed, and has better, more diverse technical boxing, better wrestling, and better submissions. I think Davis gets the better of the exchanges with more technical combos and by mixing up his hands more.


I actually think Frankie Edgar will win, but not strongly enough to bet it.

I think Leben has value at -165

I think Thiago Silva will win, line is about right though.

I'd love to see Baroni win, but man I just don't know. His cardio is SO bad

I think Antonio McKee will should get a pretty straightforward win. Probably still has value at -225. Volkmann hasn't impressed me thus far.


That's all for now. Can't wait for the fights!


- The Wise Guy

UFC 125

There are a lot of fights on this card with close odds. That's a good thing if you have a strong feeling about any of the fights, because you are getting a good deal. However, it also means the fights are harder to pick.

I may make more bets as the fights get closer but for now I only have one bet:

Clay Guida(-165) vs Takanori Gomi: 1.65 units to win 1 unit

Gomi has decent wrestling/takedown defense, but I don't think he can keep up with Guida's pace for more than a round. I think he will control Gomi and bust him up on the ground for a decision win.

That's all for now.



-The Wise Guy

December Results

Ultimate Finale Results:

Johnny Hendricks (-200) vs Rick Story: -4 units
Kendall Grove (+300) vs Demian Maia: -.5 units
Michael Johnson (+217) vs Jonathan Brookins: -.5 units
Cody Mckenzie (-145) vs Aaron Wilkinson: + .7 units

Total: - 4.3 units

Hendricks losing the decision really tanked the event for me. Otherwise I would have been at +1.7.

Luckily now I am back in the United States with decent internet and will be able to follow the events more closely and do more research, so hopefully that will see my results improve, as they have suffered slightly recently.

For UFC 124 I had only one bet:

Thiago Alves(-300) vs John Howard: 3 units to win 1

Result: +1 unit.

I was debating whether I should post the bet because I didn't have a chance to do it before the event, and I don't want anybody thinking I was being dishonest or something. Ultimately I have decided to post it, because this blog is mainly for my personal record keeping anyway, and its not some crazy unrealistic bet like saying after that fact that I had 5 units on Serra to beat GSP or something.

Anyway, the Thiago bet helped offset the losses from the ultimate finale somewhat, but it still wasn't a great month for me.

New years resolution: win more money!

Ultimate Finale

Here are my plays for the Ultimate fighter Finale:

Johnny Hendricks (-200) vs Rick Story: 4 units to win 2 units
Kendall Grove (+300) vs Demian Maia: .5 units to win 1.5 units
Michael Johnson (+217) vs Jonathan Brookins: .5 units to win 1.085 units
Cody Mckenzie (-145) vs Aaron Wilkinson: 1 unit to win .7 units

Total at risk: 6 units to win 5.285 units

we'll see what happens.



- The Wise Guy