CLAY GUIDA! He is one of my favorite fighters, and I can't wait to see him in action once again tonight. He doesn't get any easy fights, and tonight is no exception, seeing him face off against the last WEC lightweight champion Anthony Pettis.
Shockingly to me, Pettis is coming in at about a -240 favorite against Guida. Yes his record is better than Guida's, but he hasn't been facing the same level of competition either. If his record had included fights with Gomi, Florian, Diaz, Danzig, Griffin, etc, He would most likely have a couple losses as well.
And yes he is more 'well-rounded', but that just means all his skills are at basically equal levels; it doesn't mean that level is high enough.
If nothing else, +200 on somebody like Guida, against a guy in his first UFC fight is something you can't pass up even if you think Pettis will win.
And I actually got through on bookmaker's foreign site, so I can actually palce this bet too! Fuck you , The Man!
Clay Guida(+190) vs Anthony Pettis: 2 units to win 3.8 units
Most of the other fights on the cards have clear favorites, so while it should be easy to pick winners, there aren't any deals on the lines either. The only close lines are Credeur/Herman, and Nijem/Ferguson. I can't pick a winner in the Herman fight, but I think Najim wins the Ultimate fighter. We haven't really got to see enough of Fergusons takedown defense to get a good idea of how this fight will play out.
- The Wise Guy
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