Chris Lytle(-200) vs Mike Brown: 5 units to win 2.5 units
How Could Mike brown win this fight?
Submission? Doubtful. I don't even know if Brown is purple belt level yet, and Lytle is a legit BB, Never submitted in 50 fights.
Top control for 3 rounds? Again, doubtful. Lytle's grappling is excellent. He has avoided being controlled by much better wrestlers and grapplers than Brown.
Knockout? Once again, not likely. Lytle is a 17-1 professional boxer. He has fast hands, solid power, and a good chin. His only 2 TKO stoppages in his 50 fights have come due to cuts. He has never been stopped from anything else. Considering the opposition he has faced, I doubt Brown will be the one to do it, despite his solid striking.
Outstriking for 3 rounds? This is the only possible way for brown to win IMO. Possible, not likely. Technical striking advantage goes to lytle. Cardio advantage also probably goes to Lytle.
To top it all off, Lytle already beat Brown once, three years ago. Guillotine in the 2nd. My money (literally) is on Lytle, especially at these gift odds.
I am betting enough to basically cover the rest of my bets. I should have waited a little longer on lesnar as his odds keep going down.
Also, I don't want to put any more units at risk with this card, but at +160 Pellegrino is an awesome bet.
-The Wise Guy
That's pretty convincing... I might join you here.
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